This commit is contained in:
Barak Michener 2013-07-26 23:01:48 -04:00
parent 9a5e14b884
commit e77323d8a1

58
tim.py
View file

@ -6,8 +6,9 @@ import pprint
def ResistanceGame(n_players): def ResistanceGame(n_players):
full_set = [("G1", True), ("G2", True), ("G3", True), ("E1", False), ("E2", False), full_set = [("G1", True), ("G2", True), ("G3", True),
("G4", True), ("E3", False), ("G5", True), ("G6", True), ("E4", False)] ("E1", False), ("E2", False), ("G4", True),
("E3", False), ("G5", True), ("G6", True), ("E4", False)]
return full_set[:n_players] return full_set[:n_players]
@ -15,11 +16,11 @@ class DeceptionGame(object):
def __init__(self, player_array): def __init__(self, player_array):
self.player_array = player_array self.player_array = player_array
self.all_permutations = list(itertools.permutations(player_array)) self.all_permutations = list(itertools.permutations(player_array))
self.deck_var = mc.DiscreteUniform("deal", 0, len(self.all_permutations) - 1) self.deck_var = mc.DiscreteUniform("deal", 0,
len(self.all_permutations) - 1)
self.n_players = len(player_array) self.n_players = len(player_array)
self.model = None self.model = None
self.player_alliance_vars = [] self.player_alliance_vars = []
self.player_role_vars = [] self.player_role_vars = []
self.role_ids = {} self.role_ids = {}
@ -35,27 +36,28 @@ class DeceptionGame(object):
def player_alliance(x, role): def player_alliance(x, role):
return self.role_alliance[role] return self.role_alliance[role]
def player_role(x, deck_var = self.deck_var): def player_role(x, deck_var=self.deck_var):
role_str = self.all_permutations[deck_var][x][0] role_str = self.all_permutations[deck_var][x][0]
return self.role_ids[role_str] return self.role_ids[role_str]
for x in range(self.n_players): for x in range(self.n_players):
role = mc.Deterministic(eval = functools.partial(player_role, x), role = mc.Deterministic(eval=functools.partial(player_role, x),
name = "player_role_%d" % x, name="player_role_%d" % x,
parents = { "deck_var" : self.deck_var }, parents={"deck_var": self.deck_var},
doc = "Who is player %d?" % x, doc="Who is player %d?" % x,
dtype = str, dtype=str,
trace = True, trace=True,
plot = False) plot=False)
self.player_role_vars.append(role) self.player_role_vars.append(role)
alliance = mc.Deterministic(eval = functools.partial(player_alliance, x), alliance = mc.Deterministic(eval=functools.partial(
name = "player_alliance_%d" % x, player_alliance, x),
parents = { "role" : role}, name="player_alliance_%d" % x,
doc = "Is player %d good?" % x, parents={"role": role},
dtype = bool, doc="Is player %d good?" % x,
trace = True, dtype=bool,
plot = False) trace=True,
plot=False)
self.player_alliance_vars.append(alliance) self.player_alliance_vars.append(alliance)
@ -66,8 +68,8 @@ class DeceptionGame(object):
transaction = [] transaction = []
obs = mc.Bernoulli("player_seen_tid%d" % self.tid, obs = mc.Bernoulli("player_seen_tid%d" % self.tid,
self.player_alliance_vars[player_id], self.player_alliance_vars[player_id],
value = is_good, value=is_good,
observed = True) observed=True)
transaction.append(obs) transaction.append(obs)
self.observations.append(transaction) self.observations.append(transaction)
self.tid += 1 self.tid += 1
@ -76,13 +78,12 @@ class DeceptionGame(object):
transaction = [] transaction = []
obs = mc.Bernoulli("player_seen_role_tid%d" % self.tid, obs = mc.Bernoulli("player_seen_role_tid%d" % self.tid,
self.player_role_vars[player_id], self.player_role_vars[player_id],
value = self.role_ids[role_str], value=self.role_ids[role_str],
observed = True) observed=True)
transaction.append(obs) transaction.append(obs)
self.observations.append(transaction) self.observations.append(transaction)
self.tid += 1 self.tid += 1
def eval(self, length=40000): def eval(self, length=40000):
mcmc = mc.MCMC(self._build_model_list()) mcmc = mc.MCMC(self._build_model_list())
mcmc.sample(length, 2000) mcmc.sample(length, 2000)
@ -115,9 +116,8 @@ class DeceptionGame(object):
out[x] += 1 / size out[x] += 1 / size
return dict(out) return dict(out)
def print_report(self): def print_report(self):
pp = pprint.PrettyPrinter(indent = 4) pp = pprint.PrettyPrinter(indent=4)
pp.pprint(self.report()) pp.pprint(self.report())
def _build_model_list(self): def _build_model_list(self):
@ -125,16 +125,16 @@ class DeceptionGame(object):
out.append(self.deck_var) out.append(self.deck_var)
out.extend(self.player_alliance_vars[:]) out.extend(self.player_alliance_vars[:])
out.extend(self.player_role_vars[:]) out.extend(self.player_role_vars[:])
flattened = [item for transaction in self.observations for item in transaction] flattened = [item for transaction in self.observations
for item in transaction]
out.extend(flattened[:]) out.extend(flattened[:])
return list(set(out)) return list(set(out))
base_game = DeceptionGame(ResistanceGame(5)) base_game = DeceptionGame(ResistanceGame(5))
base_game.eval(10000) base_game.eval(20000)
base_game.add_known_role(0, "G1") base_game.add_known_role(0, "G1")
base_game.add_known_alliance(1, False) base_game.add_known_alliance(1, False)
base_game.eval() base_game.eval()
base_game.print_report() base_game.print_report()